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Timely Kenya
Opinion • Facts • Insights
Politics
22nd November 2025

Poll on Upcoming By-Elections – Second Series:

A second-series polling report assessing candidate preferences in upcoming by-elections across selected constituencies and counties in Kenya.

Research Methodology
sample Size
Varied per constituency (see below)
period
Nov 15–20, 2025
method
Computer-Assisted Telephone Interviews (CATI)
Key Findings
  • Most constituencies have clear front-runners.
  • Undecided voter share is low across most areas.
  • Survey success rate remained high at 96.4%.
  • Margin of error recorded at ±1.23%.
Key Observations
  • Rural respondents formed 70% of total sample.
  • Youth (18–35) accounted for 30% of respondents.
  • Education levels skewed towards secondary and tertiary.
  • Gender participation leaned female at 55%.